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Red80
377028.8
261931.5
70321.1
Blue102
556025.4
606626.6
607323.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777320406010012014080102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.0
28.328.4
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End4.1
red by 5.0
6066
#17
26.62.0
27.329.3
Auto9.4
Teleop13.9
End3.3
Second
3770
#10
28.80.0
25.125.2
Auto8.5
Teleop12.5
End7.8
red by 3.4
5560
#25
25.42.0
25.427.4
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End3.4
Third
703
#31
21.10.1
20.921.0
Auto2.6
Teleop13.9
End4.6
blue by 2.6
6073
#29
23.72.0
19.021.0
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned