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Red100
522426.0
550930.6
571229.9
Blue75
511439.9
22628.8
566120.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7788406010012014010075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#12
30.61.6
27.228.8
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End8.3
blue by 9.3
39.90.6
39.138.6
Auto10.7
Teleop25.1
End4.1
Second
29.91.6
25.927.5
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End5.1
red by 1.2
226
#32
28.81.0
26.425.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End6.9
Third
5224
#21
26.01.6
23.425.0
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End4.4
red by 5.2
5661
#26
20.80.6
18.117.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed