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Red70
522921.1
598221.5
607323.7
Blue80
353834.8
548724.5
602020.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62732040801001207080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6073
#29
23.70.6
21.021.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End4.1
blue by 11.0
34.80.4
28.428.7
Auto8.6
Teleop19.6
End6.6
Second
5982
#35
21.50.9
17.118.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End4.1
blue by 3.0
5487
#18
24.50.4
22.022.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End3.9
Third
5229
#37
21.10.6
23.524.0
Auto8.0
Teleop10.7
End2.4
red by 1.1
6020
#24
20.00.6
19.219.8
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed