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Red74
519320.9
571229.9
553816.6
Blue118
361836.2
520329.8
544727.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions559020408010012014074118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.7
27.528.1
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End5.1
blue by 6.3
36.20.7
35.336.0
Auto11.0
Teleop21.2
End4.1
Second
5193
#22
20.90.7
13.914.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End4.0
blue by 8.8
29.80.7
25.326.0
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.9
Third
5538
#38
16.60.7
17.718.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 10.4
5447
#11
27.00.7
21.822.5
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed