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Red102
22628.8
548724.5
377028.8
Blue64
519320.9
189622.4
570321.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84540204010012010264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#10
28.81.6
27.329.0
Auto8.5
Teleop12.5
End7.8
red by 6.3
1896
#28
22.40.7
21.522.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Second
226
#32
28.82.7
27.830.5
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End6.9
red by 7.7
5703
#30
21.00.4
19.620.1
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End3.5
Third
5487
#18
24.51.6
22.323.9
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End3.9
red by 3.6
5193
#22
20.90.4
16.216.7
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed