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Red79
189622.4
598221.5
606729.9
Blue73
566120.8
544727.0
560323.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6868506080907973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.8
25.025.8
Auto9.4
Teleop16.2
End4.2
red by 2.8
5447
#11
27.00.5
24.725.2
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End3.9
Second
1896
#28
22.41.1
21.022.1
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End5.0
blue by 0.7
5603
#36
23.10.6
22.523.1
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7
Third
5982
#35
21.51.2
20.421.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End4.1
red by 0.7
5661
#26
20.80.5
18.719.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed