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Red83
619332.2
521625.5
523119.4
Blue99
520329.8
548724.5
522426.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798440601001201408399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.4
32.432.8
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End6.1
red by 2.4
29.80.5
30.330.9
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.9
Second
25.50.4
26.226.6
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End3.6
blue by 0.5
5224
#21
26.00.5
25.526.0
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End4.4
Third
5231
#39
19.40.4
19.019.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End3.7
blue by 5.1
5487
#18
24.50.5
25.025.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed