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Red81
525713.0
606626.6
598221.5
Blue107
481929.3
511439.9
606729.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5210802040608010012014016081107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6066
#17
26.60.8
26.227.0
Auto9.4
Teleop13.9
End3.3
blue by 13.3
39.90.7
39.740.4
Auto10.7
Teleop25.1
End4.1
Second
5982
#35
21.50.9
20.621.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End4.1
blue by 8.3
29.90.7
27.928.6
Auto9.4
Teleop16.2
End4.2
Third
5257
#40
13.00.9
12.113.0
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 16.3
4819
#13
29.30.8
28.829.6
Auto6.0
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned