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Red148
511439.9
619332.2
607119.8
Blue113
566120.8
606729.9
516627.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12291406080100140160180148113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.2
40.640.8
Auto10.7
Teleop25.1
End4.1
red by 10.0
29.90.4
29.129.5
Auto9.4
Teleop16.2
End4.2
Second
32.20.2
33.033.2
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End6.1
red by 5.2
5166
#33
27.10.4
26.326.7
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End6.8
Third
6071
#19
19.80.2
20.520.7
Auto1.5
Teleop14.2
End4.1
blue by 1.1
5661
#26
20.80.4
20.120.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.3