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Red128
362042.8
276737.3
506922.5
Blue159
505626.7
432528.9
495630.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291016080120140160180128159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.1
42.442.5
Auto9.7
Teleop28.5
End4.7
red by 12.9
4956
#17
30.00.7
29.029.7
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.4
Second
37.30.1
36.837.0
Auto8.8
Teleop23.2
End5.3
red by 8.4
4325
#12
28.90.7
28.028.7
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End4.5
Third
5069
#21
22.50.1
22.122.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End3.0
blue by 4.2
5056
#14
26.70.7
25.826.5
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End4.0