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Quarterfinal 1-32016 FIM District - St. Joseph Event
Red130
362042.8
276737.3
506922.5
Blue107
505626.7
432528.9
495630.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128105406080120140160180130107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#2
42.80.2
42.3→42.5
Auto9.7
Teleop28.5
End4.7
red by 12.9
4956
#17
30.00.0
29.9→30.0
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.4
Second
2767
#1
37.30.2
36.7→36.9
Auto8.8
Teleop23.2
End5.3
red by 8.4
4325
#12
28.90.0
28.9→28.9
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End4.5
Third
5069
#21
22.50.2
22.0→22.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End3.0
blue by 4.2
5056
#14
26.70.0
26.7→26.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End4.0