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Red145
368840.1
345234.5
240522.2
Blue112
90427.2
387529.2
485520.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11989406080100140160145112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.2
38.438.6
Auto8.9
Teleop25.7
End5.5
red by 10.9
3875
#10
29.20.4
28.829.1
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End5.3
Second
34.50.2
32.833.0
Auto8.5
Teleop21.2
End4.8
red by 7.2
904
#16
27.20.4
26.827.2
Auto9.7
Teleop12.2
End5.3
Third
2405
#39
22.20.2
20.620.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.1
End3.4
red by 1.3
4855
#26
20.90.4
20.520.9
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4