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Red76
362042.8
553518.7
525623.4
Blue74
440919.6
295926.6
496732.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617720401001207674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.81.6
25.326.9
Auto9.7
Teleop28.5
End4.7
red by 10.5
32.30.2
31.431.6
Auto9.6
Teleop19.1
End3.5
Second
5256
#11
23.41.6
17.018.6
Auto7.7
Teleop11.0
End4.7
blue by 3.2
2959
#13
26.60.2
24.824.9
Auto6.5
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Third
5535
#22
18.71.6
19.421.0
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.9
blue by 0.9
4409
#33
19.60.2
16.316.5
Auto0.3
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed