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Red72
85837.7
506922.5
295926.6
Blue70
432528.9
485520.9
387529.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81542040601001207270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#3
37.70.3
31.130.8
Auto11.2
Teleop21.1
End5.3
red by 8.5
3875
#10
29.21.5
19.020.5
Auto8.5
Teleop15.3
End5.3
Second
2959
#13
26.60.3
24.924.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.4
End3.7
blue by 2.4
4325
#12
28.91.5
23.224.7
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End4.5
Third
5069
#21
22.50.3
18.418.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End3.0
red by 1.6
4855
#26
20.91.5
14.315.8
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed