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Red75
574523.8
345234.5
440919.6
Blue54
24421.6
400425.4
562218.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66572040801007554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.3
28.529.8
Auto8.5
Teleop21.2
End4.8
red by 9.0
4004
#38
25.40.3
24.624.2
Auto1.6
Teleop18.7
End5.2
Second
5745
#27
23.81.3
18.920.2
Auto6.3
Teleop13.0
End4.4
red by 2.2
244
#31
21.60.3
15.715.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.7
End3.4
Third
4409
#33
19.61.3
15.616.9
Auto0.3
Teleop15.6
End3.7
red by 1.0
5622
#19
18.60.3
16.816.4
Auto7.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed