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Red59
505626.7
432528.9
400425.4
Blue73
496732.3
6625.6
561023.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81816070901001105973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#12
28.92.2
28.926.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End4.5
blue by 3.4
32.31.2
31.130.0
Auto9.6
Teleop19.1
End3.5
Second
5056
#14
26.71.3
26.124.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End4.0
red by 1.1
66
#24
25.61.2
24.923.7
Auto3.4
Teleop17.0
End5.2
Third
4004
#38
25.42.2
24.222.0
Auto1.6
Teleop18.7
End5.2
red by 2.4
5610
#15
23.11.2
22.521.3
Auto2.5
Teleop17.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed