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Red72
354633.9
547315.8
518219.7
Blue46
47022.7
562218.6
553518.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65572040801007246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.0
32.833.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.2
End5.9
red by 11.2
470
#28
22.71.0
20.219.2
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End3.7
Second
5182
#32
19.71.1
16.017.1
Auto0.8
Teleop15.2
End3.7
red by 0.9
5535
#22
18.71.0
18.917.9
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Third
5473
#36
15.81.0
12.813.8
Auto2.3
Teleop10.5
End3.0
blue by 2.8
5622
#19
18.61.0
17.416.4
Auto7.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed