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Red80
423726.2
194016.7
276737.3
Blue82
21621.0
295926.6
247427.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80692040601001208082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.3
36.937.2
Auto8.8
Teleop23.2
End5.3
red by 9.7
27.60.7
26.226.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.4
End3.3
Second
4237
#20
26.20.4
23.223.6
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.4
blue by 0.4
2959
#13
26.60.7
24.124.8
Auto6.5
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Third
1940
#40
16.70.3
15.716.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End3.5
blue by 4.3
216
#30
21.00.7
18.619.3
Auto8.3
Teleop9.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed