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Red69
400425.4
517318.1
495630.0
Blue122
354727.4
354633.9
295926.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72892040608010012069122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#17
30.00.3
29.329.0
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.4
blue by 3.9
33.91.0
33.033.9
Auto8.7
Teleop19.2
End5.9
Second
4004
#38
25.40.3
25.024.7
Auto1.6
Teleop18.7
End5.2
blue by 2.0
3547
#35
27.41.0
26.427.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End4.1
Third
5173
#37
18.10.3
18.418.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.1
End1.8
blue by 8.5
2959
#13
26.61.0
24.825.8
Auto6.5
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned