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Red126
354633.9
85837.7
354727.4
Blue160
368840.1
345234.5
240522.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124116050100150200250300126160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#3
37.70.0
37.837.9
Auto11.2
Teleop21.1
End5.3
blue by 2.4
40.10.3
39.539.8
Auto8.9
Teleop25.7
End5.5
Second
33.90.0
34.034.1
Auto8.7
Teleop19.2
End5.9
blue by 0.6
34.50.3
33.934.2
Auto8.5
Teleop21.2
End4.8
Third
3547
#35
27.40.0
27.627.6
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End4.1
red by 5.2
2405
#39
22.20.3
21.622.0
Auto6.7
Teleop12.1
End3.4