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Red136
354633.9
85837.7
354727.4
Blue164
368840.1
345234.5
240522.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124117050100150200250300136164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#3
37.70.2
37.937.7
Auto11.2
Teleop21.1
End5.3
blue by 2.4
40.10.4
39.840.2
Auto8.9
Teleop25.7
End5.5
Second
33.90.2
34.133.9
Auto8.7
Teleop19.2
End5.9
blue by 0.6
34.50.4
34.234.6
Auto8.5
Teleop21.2
End4.8
Third
3547
#35
27.40.2
27.627.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End4.1
red by 5.2
2405
#39
22.20.4
22.022.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.1
End3.4