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Red143
354827.4
360437.2
118819.3
Blue100
468030.7
12326.3
57321.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10395406080120140160180143100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.4
36.536.8
Auto11.0
Teleop17.1
End9.1
red by 6.5
30.70.1
30.530.6
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.3
Second
27.40.4
26.627.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End5.2
red by 1.1
123
#8
26.30.1
26.126.1
Auto8.6
Teleop12.8
End4.9
Third
1188
#26
19.30.4
18.518.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.9
End4.4
blue by 2.0
573
#23
21.30.1
21.121.1
Auto6.9
Teleop11.0
End3.4