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Red138
354827.4
360437.2
118819.3
Blue121
317513.8
283228.5
170128.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102794060120140138121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.3
35.635.9
Auto11.0
Teleop17.1
End9.1
red by 8.8
2832
#14
28.50.7
27.728.5
Auto7.4
Teleop15.4
End5.7
Second
27.40.4
25.625.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End5.2
blue by 0.7
1701
#19
28.10.8
27.328.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End3.9
Third
1188
#26
19.30.3
17.617.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.9
End4.4
red by 5.5
3175
#32
13.80.7
13.113.8
Auto2.1
Teleop10.3
End1.4