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Red106
353829.3
584325.1
81520.6
Blue104
468030.7
12326.3
57321.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9591050150200250106104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.2
28.728.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End5.8
blue by 1.4
30.70.1
29.029.1
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.3
Second
25.10.2
24.424.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.8
End3.7
blue by 1.2
123
#8
26.30.1
24.424.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.8
End4.9
Third
815
#17
20.60.2
19.920.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End3.8
blue by 0.6
573
#23
21.30.1
19.519.7
Auto6.9
Teleop11.0
End3.4