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Red50
56199.0
45315.2
468030.7
Blue62
549814.7
516729.8
296027.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51650204060801005062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.2
20.920.7
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.3
red by 1.0
5167
#12
29.80.1
18.818.9
Auto8.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
Second
453
#24
15.20.2
15.014.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
blue by 12.2
2960
#11
27.40.1
25.725.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End2.3
Third
5619
#37
9.00.2
15.815.6
Auto-1.2
Teleop9.0
End1.2
blue by 5.7
5498
#35
14.70.1
16.716.8
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed