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Red71
283228.5
28022.1
485411.8
Blue35
170128.1
24715.0
549814.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585740506070807135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#14
28.51.1
23.124.2
Auto7.4
Teleop15.4
End5.7
red by 0.4
1701
#19
28.12.2
22.320.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End3.9
Second
280
#7
22.11.1
20.621.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.0
End7.5
red by 7.0
247
#16
15.02.2
16.113.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.4
Third
4854
#29
11.81.1
12.113.2
Auto6.3
Teleop4.2
End1.2
blue by 2.9
5498
#35
14.72.2
16.814.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed