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Red78
12326.3
54832.0
148124.2
Blue55
516729.8
591518.2
476811.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7535020601001207855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#5
32.01.2
28.129.3
Auto7.0
Teleop20.3
End4.7
red by 2.3
5167
#12
29.81.6
18.920.6
Auto8.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
Second
123
#8
26.31.2
19.420.7
Auto8.6
Teleop12.8
End4.9
red by 8.1
5915
#31
18.21.6
11.212.8
Auto6.3
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Third
1481
#10
24.21.2
19.320.6
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End2.8
red by 13.0
4768
#38
11.11.6
10.111.7
Auto1.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed