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Red70
28022.1
432717.5
501417.7
Blue40
45315.2
204814.8
283228.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584902040807040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#7
22.11.2
21.722.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.0
End7.5
blue by 6.4
2832
#14
28.51.0
24.223.3
Auto7.4
Teleop15.4
End5.7
Second
5014
#15
17.71.2
15.316.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End4.3
red by 2.5
453
#24
15.21.0
11.710.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Third
4327
#30
17.51.2
17.618.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End2.3
red by 2.7
2048
#36
14.81.0
12.811.8
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed