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Red50
365819.6
296027.4
24715.0
Blue104
360437.2
54832.0
549814.7
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5279020406010012050104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#11
27.40.5
26.225.7
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End2.3
blue by 9.9
37.21.2
29.130.3
Auto11.0
Teleop17.1
End9.1
Second
3658
#25
19.60.5
14.313.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.8
End1.7
blue by 12.4
548
#5
32.01.2
29.330.5
Auto7.0
Teleop20.3
End4.7
Third
247
#16
15.00.5
13.913.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End1.4
red by 0.3
5498
#35
14.71.2
14.615.8
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed