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Red59
549814.7
332218.8
485411.8
Blue45
204814.8
56199.0
590116.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49360204060805945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#21
18.80.2
18.017.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.3
End1.9
red by 2.3
5901
#28
16.60.9
15.316.2
Auto8.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
Second
5498
#35
14.70.2
14.214.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End1.6
blue by 0.1
2048
#36
14.80.9
12.413.2
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Third
4854
#29
11.80.2
13.413.2
Auto6.3
Teleop4.2
End1.2
red by 2.8
5619
#37
9.00.9
9.09.9
Auto-1.2
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed