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Red98
360437.2
468030.7
584325.1
Blue55
501417.7
485411.8
353829.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625302040801009855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.23.8
27.231.0
Auto11.0
Teleop17.1
End9.1
red by 7.9
29.30.3
20.020.3
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End5.8
Second
30.73.8
16.219.9
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.3
red by 13.0
5014
#15
17.70.3
17.117.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End4.3
Third
25.19.0
28.419.4
Auto8.5
Teleop12.8
End3.7
red by 13.3
4854
#29
11.80.3
15.515.8
Auto6.3
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed