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Red70
591518.2
83520.6
501417.7
Blue94
516729.8
354827.4
353829.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions449102060801001201407094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
#18
20.61.8
19.521.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End3.5
blue by 9.1
5167
#12
29.80.3
27.227.5
Auto8.7
Teleop17.1
End4.0
Second
5915
#31
18.21.8
13.915.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 11.1
29.30.3
29.229.4
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End5.8
Third
5014
#15
17.71.8
16.418.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End4.3
blue by 9.7
27.40.3
24.725.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed