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Red67
549814.7
366831.8
83520.6
Blue65
501417.7
57321.3
170128.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68673040506080901006765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.1
30.930.9
Auto8.3
Teleop18.1
End5.5
red by 3.7
1701
#19
28.10.5
26.225.7
Auto4.8
Teleop19.4
End3.9
Second
835
#18
20.60.1
21.321.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End3.5
blue by 0.7
573
#23
21.30.4
20.820.4
Auto6.9
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Third
5498
#35
14.70.1
14.014.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End1.6
blue by 3.0
5014
#15
17.70.4
18.217.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed