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Red77
591518.2
9419.4
296027.4
Blue60
204814.8
475812.4
468030.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634802040801001207760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#11
27.40.7
26.527.2
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End2.3
blue by 3.4
30.70.5
25.726.2
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.3
Second
94
#20
19.40.7
16.517.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End3.9
red by 4.7
2048
#36
14.80.5
12.412.9
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Third
5915
#31
18.20.7
15.716.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.5
End2.4
red by 5.8
4758
#39
12.40.5
10.811.3
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed