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Red50
432717.5
549814.7
476811.1
Blue96
591518.2
360437.2
575623.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3680020601001201405096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#30
17.50.6
16.917.5
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End2.3
blue by 19.7
37.21.8
33.635.4
Auto11.0
Teleop17.1
End9.1
Second
5498
#35
14.70.6
14.114.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End1.6
blue by 8.4
5756
#34
23.11.8
21.323.1
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End5.1
Third
4768
#38
11.10.6
10.511.1
Auto1.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 7.0
5915
#31
18.21.8
16.318.2
Auto6.3
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsMissed73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed