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Red130
437730.4
191840.4
516625.0
Blue115
609825.7
544827.7
86222.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1247850100150200130115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.3
40.040.3
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End5.4
red by 12.7
27.70.5
26.927.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Second
30.40.3
30.030.3
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.8
red by 4.7
6098
#32
25.70.5
24.725.3
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Third
5166
#16
25.00.4
24.524.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.7
red by 2.9
862
#38
22.10.5
21.221.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End4.5