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Red103
377023.9
361831.6
150225.5
Blue104
357025.6
522423.0
515621.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10882204060100120140160103104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.0
32.332.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End7.1
red by 6.0
3570
#20
25.60.2
25.225.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Second
1502
#19
25.50.0
26.326.3
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End4.0
red by 2.4
5224
#11
23.00.2
22.722.9
Auto1.9
Teleop17.5
End3.6
Third
23.90.0
24.624.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End5.6
red by 2.1
5156
#28
21.80.3
21.321.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End3.2