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Red40
570320.7
550419.4
556224.4
Blue61
607413.3
571223.9
437730.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61572040801004061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5562
#21
24.42.0
22.820.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End3.8
blue by 6.0
30.41.1
21.120.1
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Second
5703
#29
20.72.0
18.216.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End4.6
blue by 3.2
5712
#10
23.91.1
20.919.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.9
Third
5504
#39
19.42.0
17.315.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
red by 6.1
6074
#34
13.31.1
13.512.5
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed