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Red46
522423.0
544720.9
544827.7
Blue44
498317.6
522617.3
360233.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5454455055604644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.3
19.918.6
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End4.2
blue by 5.5
33.20.9
24.523.6
Auto7.1
Teleop20.7
End5.4
Second
5224
#11
23.01.3
16.515.2
Auto1.9
Teleop17.5
End3.6
red by 5.4
4983
#30
17.60.9
14.113.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End4.2
Third
5447
#17
20.91.3
16.014.7
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
red by 3.6
5226
#33
17.30.9
13.512.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed