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Red80
556224.4
437730.4
377023.9
Blue59
261925.6
553421.3
544720.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7056204060801008059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.41.0
24.425.4
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.8
red by 4.8
2619
#15
25.60.3
18.919.2
Auto4.9
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Second
5562
#21
24.41.0
20.921.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End3.8
red by 3.1
5534
#36
21.30.3
20.821.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End6.0
Third
23.91.0
20.521.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End5.6
red by 3.0
5447
#17
20.90.3
16.416.7
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed