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Red53
498317.6
609825.7
550419.4
Blue63
357025.6
501713.7
556025.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435102060801001205363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6098
#32
25.71.1
15.216.3
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 0.1
3570
#20
25.61.0
19.620.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Second
5504
#39
19.41.1
15.716.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
blue by 5.8
5560
#13
25.21.0
16.817.8
Auto8.8
Teleop11.3
End5.0
Third
4983
#30
17.61.1
12.313.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End4.2
red by 3.9
5017
#24
13.71.0
12.313.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed