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Red61
609825.7
261925.6
501713.7
Blue42
557511.0
357025.6
522423.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505602040801001206142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6098
#32
25.71.3
15.917.3
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 0.1
3570
#20
25.61.2
21.820.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Second
2619
#15
25.61.2
19.720.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.1
End3.6
red by 2.6
5224
#11
23.01.2
18.917.8
Auto1.9
Teleop17.5
End3.6
Third
5017
#24
13.71.2
13.514.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End-0.1
red by 2.8
5575
#35
11.01.2
12.511.3
Auto1.2
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed