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Red70
437730.4
353715.4
439819.9
Blue52
609825.7
531610.6
524716.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58532040801007052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.5
20.721.1
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End5.8
red by 4.7
6098
#32
25.720.9
36.615.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Second
4398
#18
19.90.5
18.919.4
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End3.3
red by 3.8
5247
#26
16.10.0
16.316.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Third
3537
#37
15.40.5
16.316.8
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End4.7
red by 4.8
5316
#31
10.60.0
20.220.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed