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Red97
361831.6
607413.3
554719.2
Blue67
570320.7
353715.4
150225.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475902040801001209767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.64.1
25.029.1
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End7.1
red by 6.1
1502
#19
25.51.2
24.826.1
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End4.0
Second
5547
#22
19.24.1
12.116.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End5.0
blue by 1.5
5703
#29
20.71.2
19.720.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End4.6
Third
6074
#34
13.34.1
10.714.7
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End3.8
blue by 2.1
3537
#37
15.41.2
11.312.5
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed