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Red34
557511.0
86222.1
439819.9
Blue52
517518.2
556224.4
498317.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506302040801003452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#38
22.11.5
18.817.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End4.5
blue by 2.3
5562
#21
24.40.7
23.422.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End3.8
Second
4398
#18
19.91.5
20.318.8
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End3.3
red by 1.7
5175
#12
18.20.6
18.517.9
Auto2.1
Teleop12.0
End4.0
Third
5575
#35
11.01.5
11.810.3
Auto1.2
Teleop9.1
End0.7
blue by 6.7
4983
#30
17.60.6
17.116.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed