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Red81
609825.7
566117.5
556025.2
Blue61
571223.9
612123.9
522617.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61582040801001208161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6098
#32
25.71.7
17.519.2
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 1.8
23.90.4
19.319.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End4.7
Second
5560
#13
25.21.7
23.625.3
Auto8.8
Teleop11.3
End5.0
red by 1.3
5712
#10
23.90.4
22.122.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.9
Third
5661
#23
17.51.6
17.419.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End3.5
red by 0.2
5226
#33
17.30.4
15.415.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed