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Red70
556224.4
531610.6
544827.7
Blue17
60719.0
570320.7
566117.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605402040801001207017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.6
23.524.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.8
End4.2
red by 7.0
5703
#29
20.73.0
22.719.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End4.6
Second
5562
#21
24.40.7
22.823.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End3.8
red by 6.9
5661
#23
17.53.0
19.016.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Third
5316
#31
10.60.6
11.412.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End-0.4
red by 1.6
6071
#40
9.03.2
11.78.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed