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Red88
609825.7
612123.9
516625.0
Blue93
261925.6
191840.4
554719.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5883020401001208893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6098
#32
25.72.5
19.221.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.7
End4.4
blue by 14.8
40.41.3
36.738.0
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End5.4
Second
5166
#16
25.02.5
21.223.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.7
blue by 0.6
2619
#15
25.61.3
23.024.3
Auto4.9
Teleop17.1
End3.6
Third
23.92.3
19.621.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End4.7
red by 4.7
5547
#22
19.21.3
17.018.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed