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Red74
86222.1
566117.5
544720.9
Blue59
498317.6
557511.0
570320.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574602040801007459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#38
22.11.5
18.219.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.4
End4.5
red by 1.4
5703
#29
20.70.9
19.820.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.3
End4.6
Second
5447
#17
20.91.5
19.420.9
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
red by 3.3
4983
#30
17.60.9
16.717.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End4.2
Third
5661
#23
17.51.5
16.017.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End3.5
red by 6.5
5575
#35
11.00.9
10.011.0
Auto1.2
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed