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Red130
612123.9
361831.6
357025.6
Blue82
550419.4
571223.9
516625.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8163204010012013082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.8
30.532.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End7.1
red by 6.5
5166
#16
25.01.5
23.725.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.7
Second
3570
#20
25.61.8
23.425.2
Auto5.7
Teleop15.3
End4.6
red by 1.7
5712
#10
23.91.3
22.323.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End4.9
Third
23.91.8
21.923.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End4.7
red by 4.5
5504
#39
19.41.3
18.019.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed